摘要
研究了影响黄金价格变动的主要因素,运用统计计量分析方法,对近30年影响黄金价格的各因素作了实证分析,发现最主要的影响因素是利率、通胀水平、汇率、石油价格、股指,这对于研究未来黄金价格的走势有一定的指导作用。
This paper researches the main factors influencing the change of gold price, and by using the statistical and metrical analysis, makes empirical analysis on each factor influencing gold price for more than 30 years, and finds that the most important factors influencing the gold price are the interest rate, inflation level, foreign exchange rate, petroleum price and stock index, which has certain guiding function for the future movements of the gold price.
出处
《科技情报开发与经济》
2008年第15期124-126,共3页
Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy
关键词
黄金价格
影响因素
实证分析
gold price
influencing factor
empirical analysis
