基于绝对分布的马氏链和加权马氏链的预测评价

Absolute Distribution and Weighted Markov Chain Based Forecast Evaluation

利用随机模拟,对基于绝对分布的马氏链预测和加权马氏链预测两种预测方法的预测误差进行分析,得出了加权马氏链预测要优于基于绝对分布马氏链预测的结论。

Forecast error were analyzed for those of absolute distribution based and the weighted that Markov chain prediction approaches by random simulation. Results demonstrate the latter is superior to the former.