巴萨效应在中国适用性的实证分析

Demonstrative analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis's application in China

在解释一国经济增长同该国货币的实际汇率关系问题上,"巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应"是最具影响力的理论之一。该模型自提出后,在很大程度上对购买力平价理论进行了修正和扩展,并在世界范围内取得了实证经验。鉴于工资传导机制在该理论推导中的重要地位,本文将其作为切入点,采用实证分析方法证明该理论在中国不能直接适用并进一步提出了中国劳动力市场的特殊性是巴萨效应适用冲突的重要原因之一。

On the research of the relationship between one country＇s economy growth and the real exchange rate,Balassa-Samuelson effect is one of the most influential theory.Since it has been brought up,this theory has modified the purchasing power parity to a large extend as well as achived succussful empirical experience in the world wide Considering the importance of the Salary Transmission Mechanism in this theory,this article let it be a breaking Point and use positive analysis to prove that the theory can＇t be used in China directly.Furthermore,this article comes up the idea that the particularity of China＇s larbor market is one of the most important causes of the conflict.