中国产业内贸易状况的实证研究：1980～2006

The Positive Research on Chinese Intra-industry Trade:1980～2006

随着新贸易理论在国际经济学中的扩展,产业内贸易(IIT)已成为当前世界贸易的一个重要现象。文章主要采用格鲁贝尔(Grubel)和劳艾德(Lloyd)提出的测量产业内贸易指数的G-L公式,利用我国的相关统计数据,具体考察我国1980～2006年初级产品与工业制成品的产业内贸易状况。实证分析表明,我国目前已呈现明显的产业内贸易趋势,但初级产品的产业内贸易不发达,且开展产业内贸易的产业分布与行业结构仍有待优化。

With the expansion of the new trade theory in the international economics, Intra-industry trade （IIT） has already become an important phenomenon of present world trade. This article mainly adopts the G-L formula of measuring Intra-industry trade index, which was presented by Grubel and Lloyd, and the relative statistics to analysis Chinese Intra-industry trade state of primary and manufactured goods from 1980 to 2006. The result shows that it becomes the trend of Intra-industry trade in China, but the Intra-industry trade of primary good has not been developed sufficiently and the trading industry structure should be more optimized.