入世前后浙江省贸易条件变动的实证分析

An Empirical Research on Zhejiang's Terms of Trade around China's Entering into WTO

文章对浙江省入世前后贸易条件的变动趋势进行了实证分析,研究结果显示:浙江省贸易条件的变动受入世的影响较大。其进出口产品、初级品和工业制成品的价格贸易条件及制成品要素贸易条件在入世后均相对趋向不利的变动;收入贸易条件则以入世为界趋于改善;经过调整计算的价格贸易条件也显示出入世后的贸易利益变动不利于浙江省。文章最后重点分析了入世后影响浙江贸易条件变动的主要因素,并提出了改善其贸易条件的对策建议。

Based on the empirical research on terms of trade of Zhejiang province around China＇s Entering into WTO, we can conclude that entering into WTO has great effects on Zhejiang＇ s terms of trade. The trends of NBTT of gross products, primary products and manufactured goods,as well as FTT of manufactured goods turned to be worse after China＇s joining WTO,while ITT of them tended to improve.An improved index of NBTI＇ also showed that changes of gain from trade were disadvantageous to Zhejiang province after then. Finally, this paper focuses on the main factors that have effects on changes of Zhejiang＇ s terms of trade ,and gives some proposals to improve its terms of trade.