广东省能源消费与经济增长关系实证研究

Empirical Study of the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Guangdong Province

运用格兰杰因果关系检验与脉冲响应以及方差分解方法,分别对广东省能源消费与经济增长之间的因果与动态以及定量关系进行研究。研究发现:广东省能源消费与经济增长之间存在从能源消费到经济增长的单向因果关系,能源消费的较小波动将对经济增长产生持续较大的影响,经济增长对能源消费具有较强的依赖性。

This paper researches on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Guangdong province by Granger cause and effect test, pulse response and S.E.. The research concludes that energy consumption and economic growth in Guangdong province have a unilateralist cause and effect relationship from energy consumption to economy growth, and that the less fluctuation of energy consumption will have a durative and biggish effect on economy growth, which has a strong dependence on energy consumption.