我国农业机械化经营收入对农民增收的贡献

The Contribution of Agricultural Mechanization Management to China Farmer Income

为进一步把握农业机械化对农民增收的贡献,对我国农业机械化经营性服务的产生、发展以及目前自购自用机户、农机户和农户这3种主要农机使用方式下,农业机械化对农民增收的效应和内涵进行了分析;指出我国农业机械化经营收入已成为农机化发展和农民增收的一条重要途径。为此,运用灰色理论分别建立了农业机械化经营收入和农民人均纯收入预测模型,经检验具有很好的拟合精度。其预测结果显示:到2010年,我国农业机械化经营收入对农民增收的贡献可达到6.51%。其结果可为农业机械化发展决策提供参考。

It is more grasped contribution of agricultural mechanization for farm income. This paper is answer to inevita- bility of the emergence of the management of agricultural mechanization in China. And it evaluated the results of using agricultural machines by farmer, farmer of using machine and farmer of management machine and analysis inner significance of the management of agricultural mechanization to farmer income. And This paper established GM （ 1,1 ） prediction model of the contribution value for enhancing farmer income based on grey theory. The model validated effectiveness by analysis of the error. The contribution for enhancing farmer income is 6.51% in 2010 year by computed from the results the grey prediction model.