区域性安全生产风险影响因素及其权重确定研究

Study on affecting factors and its weight value of regional work safety risk

影响地区安全生产风险的因素众多,使得评价地区安全生产风险的控制水平极为复杂。系统分析地区安全生产风险的影响因素,并确定其权重,对提高区域性定量风险评价的科学性,有效实施区域安全生产风险管理具有重要意义。本文针对我国安全生产监督管理特点,对我国当前安全生产风险的多源化趋势进行了分析,提出了安全生产责任制、安全管理组织机构、安全生产法规、安全生产投入、安全科学技术等12个影响安全生产风险的核心因素,采用层次分析法(AHP)确定了安全生产风险影响因素的权重值,并设计了安全生产风险控制因子,以表征地区的安全生产风险控制水平。计算结果表明,安全生产规划、安全生产控制指标、安全生产法规和安全管理组织机构对地区安全生产风险的影响程度最高。

There were many factors affecting regional work safety risk and it was difficult to evaluate the control level of regional work safety risk. The research on affecting factors and weight value of regional work safety risk is very helpful to quantitative risk assessment and regional risk management. According to the characteristics of work safety administration, the diversification trend of work safety risk at home was analyzed, and 12 key factors affecting regional work safety risk were proposed including responsibility system for work safety, safety management structure, safety regulation, safety input, safety science and technology and so on. The weight values were determined by Analytic Hierarchy Process （AHP） and the method for risk control factor representing the control level of regional work safety risk was put forward. The result showed that safety strategy, control target for work safety, safety regulation, safety management structure were dominant.