中国与印度软件产业竞争性与互补性的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Competitiveness and Complementarities of China and India's Software Industry

中印两国都是软件产业及产品生产的大国,两国软件产品贸易发展迅速。本文运用修正的显示性比较优势指数、出口产品相似度指数,以及灰色预测的方法,分析了中国与印度软件产业的互补性和竞争性及其趋势。研究结果表明,近期中印软件产业及产品在主要出口市场上的竞争性不强,但从长期看中印软件产业及产品的竞争性会增强;而中印软件产业及产品的互补性较强,中国应加强与印度在软件产业的合作以获得更多贸易以外的利益。

China and India are both countries with large production of software and the trade in software products between the two countries develops rapidly.This paper uses the Revealed Comparative Advantage index and Export Similarity index to analyze the competitiveness and complementari- ties of the software industry in China and India respectively.Besides,the paper uses Gray Model to forecast the change of it in next several years.The research results show that the software in- dustry in India and products in the main export markets,competition is not strong;however it will be enhanced in the long-term.And the software industry in India and the products are highly complementary.Therefore,China and India should strengthen cooperation in software industry to benefit more from trade.