庾志成：3G依然是不可跨越的阶段

The 3G Stage Cannot be Skipped

在很多国家和地区已经实现规模商用的3G,其发展依然面临问题——运营商究竟怎样靠3G大幅度提升利润?能否跨过3G直接发展LTE?哪些3G应用才是运营商收入的增长点?近日,《世界电信》(以下简称"WT")邀请信息产业部电信研究院通信信息研究所副总工庾志成,对全球3G市场及发展进行了分析。庾志成表示,2008年,随着用户和网络规模不断扩大,全球移动通信行业已经全面进入3G时代,3G依然是不可跨越的阶段,其特色业务将成为推动移动运营商增加收入的主要驱动力。

In China,the telecom reorganization has started and the 3G market is emerging.At this time,in the global market,problems have been revealed in the scale commercial use of 3G,such as how to enhance profits of operators substantially by providing 3G services?Is it possible to directly adopt LTE beyond 3G?Which 3G applications are the sources of operators' revenue growth? Teleinfo Institute ofCATR,MII has a long-term follow-up study on the global development trends in the field of telecommunication.In this issue Mr.Yu Zhicheng,the Assistant Chief Engineer of Teleinfo Institute was invited to make comments on the global 3G development and related problems.Yu Zhicheng said,in the year of 2008,with the users and networks being expanded,the global mobile communication industry has entered into the 3 G era,where 3G has become the main part of market. According to the statistics by Teleinfo Institute,by March 2008,the number of WCDMA users worldwide has exceeded 200 million,while the number of EV-DO users has reached 97.8 million,and the number of CDMA2000 1X users has reached 333 million.Yu Zhicheng thought that 3G is still a stage which couldn't be skipper,and the commercial use of LTE also need 4～5 years at least.