当前宏观经济形势分析及政策建议

An Analysis on Current Macro Economic Situation and Policy Suggestion

由于美国次债问题的不断恶化和我国南方地区低温雨雪冰冻灾害的发生,2008年初以来,国际、国内经济形势发生了较大的变化。从国内情况看,我国经济增速面临下降趋势,出口增速下滑,就业仍然面临较大压力,物价涨幅将继续保持较高水平。因此,有关部门应科学预测世界经济走势及其对我国的影响,正确把握宏观调控的节奏和力度。在采取有力措施防止价格总水平过快上涨和经济增长由偏快转为过热的同时,也要防止经济出现"硬着陆"。

Because of deteriorated sub - prime liability problems and frozen rain and snow disaster in southern China, since the beginning of 2008, great changes have taken place in the domestic and international economic situations in China. Viewed from the domestic situation, China＇ s economic growth is confronted with a decreasing trend, the rising trend of export declining, employment problem giving greater pressure and prices remaining high. Therefore, it＇ s necessary for some departments to predict the impact of world economy trend on China in a scientific manner, and,to have a good mastery of macro regulation rhythm and appropriate efforts. While taking active actions to prevent total price level from too rapid arise and economic growth from being over - heated, measures should also be taken to prevent economy from ＂rough landing＂.