动态外部性、外国直接投资与地区产业增长——基于中国数据的实证研究

Dynamic Externality, FDI and Regional Industrial Growth——Empirical Study from Chinese Data

本文利用我国29个省25个产业面板数据研究了动态外部性、外国直接投资与地区产业增长之间的关系。结果发现:在全国样本内,专业化水平与地区产业增长之间存在着负向关系、竞争程度与地区产业增长之间存在着正向关系、多样化水平与地区产业增长之间存在着一种非线性关系,当多样化程度较低时,多样化不利于产业增长,而当多样化水平较高时,多样化则会促进产业增长、外国直接投资对地区产业增长存在着显著促进作用;在分地区分产业分析中,外国直接投资对地区产业增长促进作用在很大程度上取决于产业的相对技术水平以及产业的地理区位。

This paper estimates the effect of dynamic externality, foreign direct investment on regional industrial growth using a large sample of panel data including Chinese 29 provinces and 25 industries during 1995-2003. From the whole country, the paper finds that specialization has a negative effect on regional industrial growth, while local competition is positively related to regional industrial growth. The effect of diversity on economic growth is nonlinear, when diversity is low, it seems to affect economic growth negatively, but once it reaches a certain level, its effect on growth becomes positive. FDI has a positive effect on regional industrial growth. From the regional industrial level, the paper finds to some extent that the role of FDI on regional industrial growth depends on the relative technology level of industry （technology gap between joint ventures and domestic enterprise） and on the dimension of the geographic location （coastal or inland areas）.