应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统

Groundwater Resources System Simulation With Time Series Analysis Method

本文阐述了应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统的基本概念、原理和步骤,并列举了应用此法建立木里图地区地下水资源系统管理模型的实例.实例研究表明,应用时间序列分析法模拟地下水资源系统,进行地下水资源评价和系统管理简单、易行、省时、省力.对水文地质查勘和试验研究欠缺,含水层参数资料不足.但又积累有一定数量水文气象、开采量和地下水动态资料的地区尤为适宜.

The basic concept,principle and procedure for using the time series analysis method to simulate the groundwater resources system are described in this paper.As a case study,the time series analysis method is applied successfully to develop the groundwater resources system management model for the Mulitu region.The case study shows that the time series analysis method is an effective and practical one for groundwater resources evaluation and system management.It is simple,easy and economical,especially,it is suitable for those areas in which the hydrogeological environment is not clearly known,but there are enough data on hydrometeorology,groundwater pumping yield and groundwater dynamic regime.