当今世界男子体操竞争态势分析——北京奥运会体操比赛前瞻

The trend and State of the Competition in the World Men's Gymnastics——Look Forward to Gymnastics Competition of Beijing Olympics Games

采用文献资料法、录像观察法、统计比较法和逻辑推理法,系统分析了当今世界男子体操的竞争态势与趋向。研究表明:中国将延续2008奥运男团冠军,并以稳定的高难度而主导世界体操新潮流;全能奖牌的争夺将在中、德、日、美四国选手之间展开,而尤以中国选手实力最强;单项竞争将更加激烈,奖牌分布更趋广泛;而创编具有高A分价值且在完成上具有高稳定性的成套动作,还将是男子体操各项动作技术发展的重要趋向。

With the methods of literature review, video observation, statistic comparison and logical inference, this paper makes a systematic analysis about the trend and the state of the World Men＇s Gymnastics nowadays. The study indicates that China will continue to be the men＇ s team title in 2008 and to dominate the new current of the world gymnastics with a stable high degree of difficulty. The competition for the all- round medal will be hold among the athletes from four countries like China, Germany, Japan and American, in which Chinese athletes are regarded as the most powerful. The individual competition will be fiercer, and the medal will be distributed more broadly. Creating a set of actions with the high value of A degree which can be completed with high stability will be the important trend of the technical development of every action item in the men＇ s gymnastics.