湖北省第三产业产值与GDP关系的统计分析

The Statistical Analysis between the Output Value of Tertiary Industry Province and GDP in Hubei Province

采用计量经济学中的协整理论,对1981年至2005年间湖北省第三产业产值和GDP之间的统计关系进行了研究,建立了两者之间的长期稳定的均衡关系,并利用误差修正模型建立短期动态模型来弥补长期模型的不足,达到总结经济增长规律,优化产业结构,促进经济发展之目的。

This article uses an economics cointegration theory, the 1981 -2005 output value of tertiary industry in Hubei Province and the statistical relationship between GDP was studied, established between the two long - term stability of the balanced relations, And use of error correction model for short - term dynamic model to make up for the lack of long - term model, to sum up the law of economic growth, optimize the industrial structure, promote economic development purposes.