中国谷物发展态势、展望与对策

The Development Trend of China's Cereal,Future Prospects and Countermeasures

近年来中国扭转了谷物种植面积持续下滑的局面,谷物种植面积与谷物产量连续4年增长。中国谷物产量的增长对保障世界食物安全做出了重大贡献。中国谷物结构正在发生明显变化,非口粮用谷物比重明显上升。根据预测结果,未来中国谷物将继续保持增长势头,2010年和2015年谷物产量有望分别达到4.63亿吨和4.87亿吨,分别比2006年增产4.7%和10.1%。其增产的70%～75%来自于玉米。2015年前中国的谷物生产能够满足中国国内的基本消费需求。

In recent years,China's grain planting area has reversed continued declining trend.Grain acreage and grain production grew for four consecutive years.China's cereal output growth has made a major contribution in the world to ensure food safety.China's grain structure is undergoing a significant change,the proportion of non-ration cereal increased significantly.According to forecasts,China's grain will continue to maintain the growth momentum.China's cereal output is expected to reach 463 million tons and 487 million tons in 2010 and 2015,respectively,4.7 percent and 10.1 percent increase over 2006.70% to 75% of the production increase comes from corn.Before 2015,China's grain production can meet the basic consumer demand in China.