中国经济周期性波动与工业经济增长的协同性和非对称性

The Cooperation and Asymmetry of the Economical Cycle Fluctuation and Industry Economy Growth in China

基于中国数据的实证分析表明:工业经济增长对其经济的周期性波动影响很大,主要表现为协同性和非对称性特征。其协同性加速了国民经济周期性波动的长期趋势,其非对称性增强了国民经济周期性波动的上升趋势。为此,中国的经济发展必须继续实行积极而有效的工业化发展战略,特别是新型工业化发展战略,以进一步增强其协同性和非对称性,促进国民经济继续又好又快增长。

After empirical study, the paper indicates that the industry economy growth has a great influence on the economical cycle fluctuation with cooperation and asymmetry. The cooperation has accelerated the long-term trend and the asymmetry strengthened upward trend of national economical cycle fluctuation. Therefore, China＇s economic development should practice positive and effective indus-trialization developmental strategy, specially the new industrialization developmental strategy, in order to strengthen its cooperation and the asymmetry, and to promote the national economy.