2007年白银市场分析及2008年展望

Analysis of 2007 Silver Market and Forecast to 2008

回顾了2007年白银市场的价格走势,分析了白银市场的基本面情况和供需状况。2007年国际白银市场供需格局总体变化不大,国际白银价格紧随黄金走势创下27年来高点,伦敦金银协会(LBMA)白银现货价格最高达到15.82 USD/oz;黄金价格走高、美元疲软、原油能源价格居高和投机投资需求强劲是白银价格走强的主要原因。预计随着黄金价格走强、美国经济增长的放缓、美元的继续疲软、油价的坚挺和白银投资需求的稳定,2008年国际白银价格有望超过15 USD/oz,国内白银均价有望超过4000 CNY/kg。

The tendency of silver market was reviewed, and the influential factor of silver price was also analyzed. The fundamental of supply and demand was not changed in 2007. The international silver price in LBMA hit 27 years high level of $ 15.82 an ounce. The high price of gold and oil, the weak dollar and the strong investment demand are the main driving factors of the booming silver market. As the gold price climbs higher, the USA economy slumps, the dollar weakens, the oil price maintains strong and the in- vestment demand keeps steady, we expect the international silver price will have a chance to hit new high, and the average silver price will exceed $ 15.00 an ounce in 2008.