我国经济增长与物价波动关系分析

An Analysis of the Relation between Economy Growth and Price Fluctuation in Our Country

针对我国当前物价波动的现实,从总需求角度,通过定性、定量两种方法分析了实际GDP增长率和物价波动的关系,指出一方面由于宏观经济连续几年超过潜在GDP增长率高速增长,引起总需求与总供给不平衡而出现价格波动;另一方面,实际GDP增长率对CPI指数上涨有同向滞后影响。

According to the current price fluctuation in our country, the paper, from the perspective of total demand, analyzed the relation between the real GDP growth rate and the price change by both qualitative and quantitative methods. It is presented that the rapid growth of macroeconomic in our country, constantly surpassing the potential GDP growth rate in recent years, arouses the unbalance between the total demand and the general supply, and results in the price fluctuation. On the other hand, the real GDP growth rate has positive and lagging effect on the rise of CPI index.