农村居民消费结构的灰色关联分析及趋势预测

Grey Incidence Analysis and Trend Forecasting for Farmer's Consumption Structure

首先应用灰色关联方法分析了我国农村居民的消费结构现状;然后在预测未来人均纯收入消费情况的基础上,对农民的消费结构的趋势演变进行了分析。研究表明:目前和未来一段时间,农民的消费仍然将呈现基本生活需要型和重实物消费的特征,国家的惠农政策仍需加强。

This paper analyzes the status of farmer＇s consumption structure with Grey Incidence method.Then it analyzes the trend of farmer＇s consumption structure after forecasting the future consumption of farmers and net-income. The results show that the farmer＇ s consumption will keep the characteristics of daily-needs-type and material dominated, and the government should strengthen more favorable policies for agricultural industry.