乙醇生产扩张加剧“粮慌”耐人寻味

Expanded Ethanol Production Makes ＂Food Panic＂ Thought-Provoking

一段时间以来，全球性粮油价格上涨令人瞩目。在诸多导致涨价的因素当中，粮油产品供需关系紧张以及相关背景下产生的市场心理预期尤为重要。有关资料表明，在主要粮油生产大国美国，作为重要粮食品种之一的玉米总量已有近三分之一用于乙醇生产，而由此刺激增加的玉米生产的结果，又直接冲击作为主要油料作物的大豆种植，并明显波及小麦和棉花等作物。而在此轮粮油涨价中扮演重要“推手”角色的国际石油价格屡创新高，其势难收。

The strong expansion trends in ethanol and bio-diesel production will have the following impacts： the market imbalance intensified by short supply of grain and edible oil leads to a sustained price hike; as the adjustment in corn and soybean crop planting, relevant product supplies and relevant industries, like feed supply and cost factor, will inevitably affect the livestock and poultry breeding industry. Under this background, it seems to be arbitrary with words of ＂Grain Shortage＂, but the truth should be ＂Food Panic＂.