成渝经济区农村剩余劳动力估算研究

Estimation Research on Rural Surplus Labor in Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone

成渝经济区内农村人口多,城乡二元结构矛盾突出,若大量农村剩余劳动力得不到充分合理的转移,不仅造成劳动力资源的大量闲置,还会影响经济社会的和谐发展。农村剩余劳动力的统计结果,直接关系到劳动力转移问题,农民收入的提高,以及"三农"问题的解决,基于此,采用经验估算法和社会平均劳动生产率估算法分别对经济区内的农村剩余劳动力进行估算,结合两种方法的估算结果能更客观地反映出成渝经济区内农村剩余劳动力情况。

The number of rural population in Chengdu - Chongqing Economic zone is large, the contradictions between rural and urban are Obvious, if the large amount of rural surplus labor cant get transferred sufficiently and rationally, can it not only cause a large number of idle labor resources, but also affect Socio - economic＇s development in harmony and stability. Statistical result of the rural surplus labor will directly relate to the movement of labor, the rise of farmers＇s income, as well as the ＂three agriculture ＂ problems＇s solving. This paper respectively adopt the Methods of experienced and the Social average labor productivity＇s estimation to infer the number of rural surplus labor in Chengdu - Chongqing Economic zone, Combining this two methods can reflect the results in this zone . more objectively.