灰色理论的某型潜射导弹费用分析

Expense Analysis of Certain Kind of Missile based on Gray Theory

在分析某型潜射导弹的寿命周期费用的基础上,根据系统特点,运用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)模型。累加数列克服原始数列的波动性和随机性,转化为规律性较强的数列,由此建立该导弹的经济寿命预测模型,对导弹的费用进行相关分析。以实例进行计算,进行相应的精度验证检验,计算结果表明所建立的模型和所作的分析是有效可行的,具有实用性。

Based on analyzing the economical life cycle expense of certain kind of missile ,according to the system characteristics ,the GM（1,1）model of gray system is used. The accumulated sequence overcome the waviness and random of original sequence,and transforms into more disciplinarian sequence. Then the economical life forecast model of missile is established and the missile＇s expense is analyzed. The example is calculated and the corresponding precision verification is carried out. The result shows that the model is proved to be practical.