摘要
利用我国三大经济区中六个省份的出口和GDP变量,检验出口是否促进经济增长以及经济增长是否带动出口。透过单根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验,发现各经济区不同省份出口和经济增长之间存在着较为复杂的因果关系。为增强出口和经济增长的相互促进作用,要充分发挥人力资本的作用,优化产品结构,并建立相应的配套制度。
This paper investigates empirically the relationship between export and economic growth of three economic zones in China. Estimates of the relations are obtained through Unit Root Test, Johansen Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test. The major results reveal the complex relationship between export and economic growth in different provinces. In order to enhance the promoting effect between export and economic growth, it is urgent to increase human capital investment, upgrade industrial structure and set up comprehensive supporting system.
出处
《广东商学院学报》
2008年第4期62-66,共5页
Journal of Guangdong University of Business Studies
关键词
出口贸易
经济增长
三大经济区
协整检验
GRANGER检验
export trade
economic growth
three major economic zones
Co-integration Test
Granger Causality Test
