贸易条件变动影响因素的主成分分析——以浙江省为例

Principle Components Analysis on the Factors Influencing Terms of Trade——Taking Zhe-jiang Province as an Example

文章采用多元统计中的主成分分析方法,以浙江省为例,对影响贸易条件变动的因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,名义汇率对收入贸易条件有显著影响,经济发展水平、国内市场规模、基础设施建设投入和人民生活水平的提高对促进收入贸易条件的改善起到了积极作用,而外商投资、研发投入对收入贸易条件影响较小。为此,文章提出了相应的政策建议。

This paper examines the factors influencing Zhe-jiang＇s terms ot trade by pnnclple components analysis. The result reveals that it is the nominal exchange rate, economic development, domestic market scale, infrastructure expenditure and people＇s living level that influencing the terms of trade. On the other hand, the effect is not obvious for foreign capital actually utilized and R＆D expenditure. In the end, the paper provides some advices.