宁波市隐形经济规模的估测与实证分析

Empirical Analysis and Estimation to Invisible Economy of Ningbo

在考虑数据的可得性与模型的可行性的基础上,本文使用要素分配法对宁波市的隐形经济规模进行了估测,结果表明,自1993年以来,宁波市隐形经济的规模不断扩张,与GDP的比值大致在5%～20%之间,但在全省隐形经济中的比重则呈现先升后降的趋势。

In considering the data＇s availability and the model＇s feasibility, this article applies the method of factor distribution to estimate the invisible economy of Ningbo. Results show that since 1993, Ningbo has witnessed a rapid expansion of invisible economy, with a ratio betwen GDP of 5%-20%. Yet, the ration in invisible economy of the whole province takes a rise-and -down trend.