基于蒙特·卡罗方法的可靠性仿真过程模型研究

Research on reliability simulation process model based on Monte Carlo method

针对传统可靠性仿真过程缺乏准确度以及仿真结果缺乏可信度等问题,通过嵌入验证模块和反馈模块,给出了改进的可靠性仿真过程模型。深入分析了改进后的仿真过程模型的具体步骤,随后基于蒙特.卡罗方法设计并实现了相应的可靠性仿真算法。最后,应用Matlab软件进行了仿真实验分析。实验结果表明,改进后的过程模型能够显著提高可靠性仿真的效率和精度,对于系统可靠性分析具有良好的指导意义和实用价值。

The previous reliability simulation process model has not a verification module and feedback module, so the simulation process is neither reliable nor exact. In order to solve the problem, an improved reliability simulation process model with a embedded verification module and feedback module is introduced. Compared with the previous model, the new model is more exact and more efficient. The simulation process is analysed and the corresponding algorithm is designed based on MonteCarlo method. An example by Matlab software shows the improved model is efficacious.