呼和浩特市城市地价动态监测分析

Analysis on Land Price Development Monitoring of Huhhot

本文在阐述地价指数涵义和方法的基础上,采用定基价格指数和环比价格指数,测算出呼和浩特市2000年-2005年各种不同用途和级别的地价指数,从不同角度进行城市地价水平变化分析,从一般因素和区域因素方面分析地价变化原因。采用线性回归法进行未来五年的地价变化趋势预测,结论是地价将不会出现大幅度上涨态势,且将略低于2005年度的同比增幅水平。该成果将为政府加强地价管理和宏观调控土地市场提供决策依据。

On the basis of expatiating land price index, the DingJi and HuanBi land price index are adopted to calculate land price of different use and degree in Huhhot from 2001 to 2005. The analysis about change of land price level from different angle is carried out, and the reasons about land price change are analyzed from general and district elements. Adopting the way of ,linear regression, the forecast for land price change tendency of the five years in future is carried out. The conclusion is that land price will not appear fast advancing tendency, which is slightly lower than the level in 2005. The accomplishment will provide basis for strengthening management of land price and adjusting land market.