山西省农业结构调整的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Agriculture Structure Adjustment in Shanxi Province

在分析山西省农业产业结构调整现状的基础上构建了以山西省农民的人均纯收入、农业、林业、牧业、渔业产值为变量的向量自回归(VAR)模型,并通过脉冲响应函数实证分析了山西省农林牧副渔内部各产业的产值和农民人均收入的关系,深入探讨了造成这一现象的原因,得出了山西省农业产业结构不尽合理的结论,并提出了相应的政策建议。

With per capita net income of the farmer and the output value of agriculture,forestry,husbandry,fishery in Shanxi province as variables,the VAR model was constructed on the basis of analysis on the status quo of agriculture structure adjustment in Shanxi province.The relationship between the output value of every industry for internal Shanxi agriculture,forestry,husbandry and fishery and per capita net income of the farmer was analyzed empirically through the pulse response function,the reason leading to the phenomena was discussed deeply.The conclusion obtained was the agriculture structure adjustment in Shanxi province was not very reasonable,and relevant policy suggestions were put forward.