为山东健儿奥运夺金排“指数”

Predictions of Shandong Athletes' Performance at the Olympic Games

山东健儿在2000年悉尼奥运会实现了金牌“零”的突破．4年后．山东姑娘又在雅典奥运会上勇夺四金。那么．2008北京奥运会，山东健儿的夺金前景如何？客观地讲．强于2000年．逊于2004．有把握得金的项目不多．有希望冲金的项目不少。下面．我们试用“指数”的方式对山东健儿的夺金概率进行排列．期待着．上榜的健儿们能有出色的发挥．力夺金牌：没上榜的“黑马”不断涌现．给我们意外之喜。

Shandong athletes won their first gold medal on the 2000 Sydney Olympic Games. Four years later, Shandong girls won four gold medals on the Athens Olympic Games. With the coming of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, how many gold medals will the Shandong athletes win this time？ A reasonable prediction is that they will do better than 2000, but not as well as 2004. Few events are certain of producing gold medals despite many having the possibility. We hope that the Shandong athletes can win more gold medals in this Olympic Games and the athletes who have not won medals before can give us a surprise.