我国遭遇反倾销的双边影响因素分析——基于面板数据的研究

An Analysis of Bilateral Macro-factors Affecting Antidumping Action Targeted at China: An Empirical Research Based on Panel Data

基于1981-2006年对中国发起反倾销起诉最多的三个国家的统计数据,通过模型分析和实证研究表明进口国经济增长率和汇率与我国遭遇反倾销起诉的次数成负相关;对外直接投资流量与遭遇反倾销起诉的次数存在正相关性;而这些相关系数能否通过显著性检验在不同国家存在差异。经验研究的结论为我国政府制定反倾销政策提供了理论依据。

Based on the statistical data of antidumping actions targeted at China by 3 countries between 1981- 2006, the article makes an empirical study by using a model analysis. The findings suggest that the importing country＇s economic growth and exchange rate has a negative correlation with the number of antidumping complaints directed at China while China＇s FDI flow has positive correlation with it. Now the question is whether such coefficient, when subject to empirical tests, differs from country to country. The conclusion derived from the empirical research provides the government with a useful theoretical basis for antidumping policies.