气象因素对城市燃气日用气量的影响

Influence of Weather Condition on Daily Urban Gas Consumption

气象是城市燃气日用气量的重要影响因素。本文以我国华北某城市为例,分析了温度、湿度、风速、云量等气象因子对城市燃气日用量的影响作用,通过相关分析和因子舍选,最终确定日平均温度、日平均相对湿度、日照时数为城市燃气日用气量的关键影响因素,该研究对于城市燃气用气规律分析和负荷预测工作具有指导意义。

Weather is one of the most important factors which influence daily urban gas consumption. Based on the data of a certain north China city, the influence of weather factors such as temperature, humidity and wind speed on urban gas consumption was analyzed. With correlation analysis and variable selection, a conclusion, that the daily mean temperature, daily mean relative humidity and insolation hours are key contributing factors of daily urban gas consumption, was made out. This study is very useful for the work of urban gas consumption rules analysis and load forecasting.