国际制度和中国气候变化软能力建设--基于两次问卷调查的结果分析

Global Climate Change Institutions and China Soft Capacity Building:A Survey Analysis

利益协调、制度建设和规范内化这三个基本变量初步对气候变化软能力理论内核做出了解释。国际制度对气候变化软能力的影响体现在以下联系中:一是国际谈判和外交的自主性,其衡量指标主要是国际气候变化制度带来的利益和规范因素在参与气候变化谈判中外交人员的权重。二是国际气候谈判和战略共识,其衡量指标包括部门间的信息交流、相互学习和沟通、信任程度、最终共识等。三是国际气候谈判和协调机制建设,其衡量指标包括协调机制化程度、对口单位的作用等。通过深度访谈和问卷调查,作者认为,气候变化国际制度影响了相关外交决策的运作环境,并推动气候变化软能力的进步。

Imposed by climate change domestic-international linkage,soft capacity building has three independent variables:interest coordination,institution building and norm localization.The impacts of international institutions on the soft capacity for climate change can be shown in empirical studies as follows:First,policy autonomy whose indicators are the interests and norms in climate change;Second,strategic consensus with indicators of information exchanges,reciprocal trust and final decision-making;Third,policy coordination institution building whose indicators are the level of coordination institutionalization,coordinator.Through a comprehensive survey and discussions,the author concludes that international climate change regimes influences the decision-making environment and shapes climate change soft capacity building,meanwhile,China's soft capacity can also contribute to the development of climate change institution building.