水雷对舰船的毁伤概率计算模型及仿真

Injure Probability Model and Simulation of Mines to Warship

水雷障碍的作战效能研究是目前研究的重点。基于具有机动能力的水雷的特点,综合考虑了水雷障碍中水雷的布放成功率、命中概率、水雷的可靠度和动作概率等主要因素对目标舰船毁伤概率的影响,提出了目标舰船航线的选择服从均匀分布时和目标舰船航向服从正态分布时的目标舰船遭遇水雷概率计算模型,建立了基于具有机动能力水雷对目标舰船的毁伤概率模型,并进行了仿真验证,具有较高的实用性。

The research to the combat effect of the mine obstacle is the focus at the present. According to the main factors which influenced the injure probability of the mine obstacle to the targeted warship such as： the mobile ability of the mine, the success rate to put the mine, the hit rate, the dependable rate of the mine, the probability to act and so on, the calculation model about the rate of targeted warship was brought up to meet with mine obstacle, when the targeted warship＇s route selection is obedient to the evenly distribute and the targeted warship＇s direction is obedient to the normal distribute. The injure probability model of flexible mine to the targeted warship was built up, a simulation way was tested and proved a high practicality was proved.