基于灰色系统理论对黑龙江省林业生物质产量的预测

Prediction of Biomass Yield in Forestry in Heilongjiang Province Based on Gray System Theory

利用灰色系统理论,结合黑龙江省15个林业局过去10 a的具体数据,对2008—2009年黑龙江省林业生物质的产量进行了研究。预测结果表明,黑龙江省生物质资源连年下降,该结论对于合理利用林业生物质资源、合理开发化石资源、合理安排林业系统的生产和管理具有重要的作用。

Gray forecasting theory was used to forecast biomass yield in forestry in Heilongjiang Province during 2008 and 2009 in terms of the data for the past ten years from fifteen forestry bureaus. Prediction result shows that the biomass resources in Heilongjiang Province are decreasing year by year. It is highly important to reasonably utilize biomass resources, rationally develop fossil resource, and logically arrange the production and management of forestry system in Heilongjiang Province by forecasting biomass resources exactly.