棋至中局——2008年中国经济及对外贸易发展趋势分析

China's economic situation and development trend of foreign trade

今年上半年，尽管国内连续遭遇低温雨雪冰冻、特大地震和洪涝等一系列重特大自然灾害；国际上面临经济下滑、初级商品价格大涨，通货膨胀加剧、金融市场剧烈震荡等诸多不利因素，但我国经济总体仍继续保持了平稳较快运行的态势。但也存在出口增速回落较快，通货膨胀压力仍比较大，不确定因素增多等问题。

China's economic and foreign trade situation and its development trend in the first half of the year, despite the domestic consecutive frozen cold rain and snow andcatastrophic earthquake and a series of major floods and other natural disasters encountered; on the face of international economic downturn, commodity prices rose, fuelinginflation, turbulent financial markets, and many other negative factors, our economy as a whole still continued to maintain the momentum of steady and rapid operation.However, there are still down faster export growth, inflation pressures remain relatively large, more uncertain factors, and other issues. In the second half the economy ingeneral will continue the trend of the first half, the annual economic growth rate will remain at around 10 percent, but the overall price level will remain high.