校园安全灰色关联评价模型及应用

Grey Incidence Assessment Model for Campus Safety and Its Application

通过对影响校园安全的因素分析和灰色关联理论在校园安全评价中的适用性分析,得出校园安全存在与灰色系统理论相耦合的特征。应用灰色关联理论建立校园安全灰色关联评价模型,合理确定标准数据序列,对非线性、离散以及动态的校园安全数据进行量化分析和评价,根据关联度大小来判断校园的相对安全性程度,并结合湘潭市5所学校的校园安全状况进行实例验证。其评价结果与实际情况相一致,该模型能有效地解决校园安全影响因素中的非线性关系和不确定性问题,可作为校园安全相对安全等级划分的重要理论依据,具有可操作性和可行性。

According to analysis of factors affecting campus safety and applicability of grey incidence theory in campus safety assessment, there is a conclusion that campus safety couples in grey system theory. By applying grey incidence theory, the grey incidence assessment model of campus safety is established, standard data series are ascertained rationally, quantitative analysis and assessment are made for nonlinear, discrete and dynamic campus safety data, and this model is tested in 5 schools of Xiangtan city. Assessment results are quite in accordance with practical situation, this assessment model can solve nonlinear relation and uncertainty problems of factors that affect campus safety, and it can be taken as an important theoretic basis for dividing relative safety grade of campus safety, and is of maneuverability and feasibility.