中国区域俱乐部收敛的形成与变化——基于参数与非参数估计的研究

The Forming and Changing of Club Convergence in China's Regions——A Convergence Empirical Investigation in Parametric and Nonparametric Model

很多研究者认为1978年以来中国东部与中西部的发展差距可以用俱乐部收敛假说解释,由于文章利用参数和非参数估计方法对1978—2005年中国区域经济俱乐部收敛性进行检验时发现,20世纪90年代中期曾经出现了俱乐部收敛的特征,但最近几年趋于消失,所以在统筹区域发展时对俱乐部收敛特征的新变化要引起重视。

Many researchers argued that regional gaps between eastern areas and middle-western areas after 1978 could be explained by club convergence hypothesis. In this paper, we investigate China＇s regional convergence from 1978 to 2005 in parametric and nonparametric model and find that club convergence presented before the middle 1990＇s and have been disappear in recent years. The result shows that the coming disparity of Chinese regional has a new character that the disparity will present within and between regions must be given more attentions on the mechanisms of regional gap and given much regard by government when planning as a whole for the regional development.