基于空间饱和负荷密度的城市远景饱和负荷预测

City future saturated load forecasting based model of saturated load density

以福建省厦门市为研究对象,介绍一种基于空间饱和负荷密度的城市远景饱和负荷预测的方法.通过收集城市各分区经济发展规划信息,把各分区按功能地块统计建筑面积,分析得出各功能地块的饱和负荷密度,建立城市空间饱和负荷模型,预测出城市远景饱和负荷.该预测方法不仅能对负荷总量进行预测,还可以知道分区负荷的空间分布,为城市合理安排电网建设进程提供依据.

The city future saturated load forecasting method base on space -based saturated load density is introduced with main cities of Fujian province. The statistics of all district function block construction area are acquired through the collection of the city economic development planning information and the saturation load density of all district function block construction area is calculated. The city spatial load forecast model is established applying spatial load forecast method base on saturated load density. This method can not only on the total load forecast, but also know that the spatial distribution of regional load. The results provide foundation for city electric network planning construction.