国际产业资本流入与中国“刘易斯拐点”出现的关系分析

International Industrial Capital Influx and Emergence of Lewis Turning Point

当前,国际产业资本加速向中国转移,同时"刘易斯拐点"在中国出现已经广受认可。本文从理论上论证了国际产业资本促进"刘易斯拐点"出现的作用机制,应用计量分析方法检验了国际产业资本与第一、第二产业就业的相关性,检验结果表明,国际产业资本促进了第一产业就业减少和第二产业就业增加,一定程度上解释了"刘易斯拐点"的出现可能与国际产业资本向中国加速转移有着紧密的联系。

At present, international industrial capital has accelerated its transferring to China, and at the same time, it is accepted that Lewis turning point has appeared in China. This paper demonstrates the functioning mechanism of how international industrial capital promotes the appearance of Lewis turning point. It also utilizes econometric analysis to test the correlation between international industrial capital and employment in the first and second sector. The test results illustrate that international industrial capital has accelerate the decrease of employment in the first sector and increase of employment in the second sector. And it in some degree explains that the appearance of Lewis turning point is possibly closely related to the phenomenon that international industrial capital has accelerated its transferring to China.