我国城市化水平与城市化速度关系探讨:1978—2006——一个数理分析框架及实证检验

Derivation of Relations between Urbanization Level and Urbanization Pace: 1978—2006——A Mathematical Analysis and Empirical Test

在分析城市化水平与城市化速度之间历史来源、构造思路和实用范围的基础之上,运用Logistic模型对概念的定义、方法的应用给出了限定和数理说明。通过对中国城市化水平与城市化速度的实证检验,计算并预测了两者之间的关系及其发展趋势。最后依据理论推导结果,给出了对中国城市化水平发展的几点思考。

The logic relations and distinctions between urbanization level and urbanization pace were expounded, a new model use was derived from the concept application and the mathematic analysis.Taking China as an example,the relation and the trend of urbanization in the future was calculated and predicted. Finally, the author proposed some enlightenment to that China＇ s urbanization developed according to the conclusion.