我国城镇居民消费动态演进分析——基于ELES模型的实证

Dynamic Evolution Analysis on Chinese Urban Residents' Consumption——Empirical Analysis Based on ELES Model

以ELES模型为理论基础,利用2000年至2006年我国城镇居民的消费数据,考察了我国城镇居民消费动态演进的趋势,并分析了城镇居民消费的变化状况。研究结果表明,我国城镇居民的总体消费水平在不断提高,家用设备用品及服务、交通通讯和文教娱乐用品及服务的收入弹性较高,交通通讯和居住的边际预算份额呈现上升的趋势。

On the basis of ELKS model and using 2000 - 2006 urban residents＇ data, this paper analyzes the evolution of urban residents＇ consumption in China, and finds out the facts of urban residents＇ consumption. The results from this paper are as follows： Chinese urban resi- dents＇ consumption is becoming higher and higher, and the income elastic ties of household facilities, transportation, communication, cultural and recreation services are bigger than other consumption items. The marginal consumption promotions of transportation, communication and residence are intending to ascend.