摘要
从1985年到2006年,中国农产品出口额与农业生产总值迅速增长,通过协整检验,发现二者之间在长期内存在稳定的均衡关系,据此,建立误差修正模型,说明农产品出口额的增加能够促进农业经济的增长;同时,通过格兰杰因果检验验证了中国农产品出口额与农业生产总值之间存在单向的因果关系,即农产品出口额的增加能够促进农业经济的增长。
China＇ s export of agricutural products and the gross of agirucuture have rapidly increased from 1985 to 2006. We find that there is a stable relation between them through cointegration test. We found ECM basing on the relation; At the same time , we certify that the export of agrieutural products can promote the increasing of agrieutural economics though Granger Test. We also give some suggestions for the exsiting problems of China＇ s export of agTieutural products.
出处
《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2008年第5期62-65,共4页
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
