期刊文献+

能源需求子系统的建模及分析 被引量:3

Modeling and Analysis of Energy Source Demand Subsystems
下载PDF
导出
摘要 将需求量、价格和利润看作一个系统中3个相互作用、相互依存和相互制约的因素,建立了能源需求子模型。对该模型进行了动力学行为分析,结果表明,以价格作为杠杆促进节能,可以抑制能源过度需求,保证能源系统的稳定。 A sub-model of energy resource demand is established based on the factors such as energy demand, energy price and energy profit. Dynamical behaviors of the model were investigated. Some related conclusions are gotten, which are useful for the further study in the area of the complex system consisting of the energy.
出处 《管理学报》 CSSCI 2008年第5期659-661,共3页 Chinese Journal of Management
基金 国家自然科学基金项目资助(90610031)
关键词 能源系统 平衡点 HOPF分叉 混沌 energy source systems equilibrium point HopF bifurcation chaos
  • 相关文献

参考文献7

  • 1[1]RICHARD S,HOVE A,SHULMAN P.Analysis of US Energy Scenarios:Meta-Scenarios,Pathways,and Policy Implieations[J].Technological Forecasting &Social Change,2003,70(4):297~315.
  • 2[2]REINHARD H,SCHIPPER L.Residential Energy De-mand in OECD-Countries and the Role of Irreversible Efficiency Improvements[J].Energy Economics,1998,20(4):421~442.
  • 3[3]EDIGER S V,TATLLDIL H.Forecasting the Primary Energy Demand in Turkey and Analysis of Cyclic Patterns[J].Energy Conversion and Manage-ment,2002,43(4):473~487.
  • 4[4]PERSAUD A J,KUMAR U.An Eclectic Approach in Energy Forecasting:A Case of Natural Resources Canada'S (NRCan's) Oil and Gas Outlook[J].Energy Policy,2001,29(4):303~313.
  • 5魏一鸣,吴刚,刘兰翠,范英.能源-经济-环境复杂系统建模与应用进展[J].管理学报,2005,2(2):159-170. 被引量:74
  • 6[7]SUN MEI,TIAN LIXIN.An Energy Resources Demand-supply System and Its Dynamical Analysis[J].Chaos,Solitons & Fractals,2007,32 (1):168~180.
  • 7[12]马知恩.种群生态学的数学建模与研究[M].合肥:安徽教育出版社,1994.

二级参考文献93

  • 1[88]Patrick Criqui,Silvana Mima. The EU Tradable Emission Per-mit System: Some Policy Issues Identified with the POLES-ASPEN Model[R]. Institut d'Economie et de Politique de l'Energie CNRS-Université Pierre Mendès-France, 2001.
  • 2[89]P Capros, MIDAS, http://www.worldbank.org/html/fpd/em/power/EA/methods/istmidas.stm[EB]. 2004-09
  • 3[90]P Capros, P Karadeloglou, G Mentzas,et al.Short and Medium-term Modeling and Problems of Models Linkage[J]. Energy, 1990, 15(3-4): 301~324
  • 4[91]P Carpos, P Karadeloglou, G N Mentzas. Energy Policy Extensions of KLE Ased Macroeconomic Models[J]. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1989, 11(4): 507~530
  • 5[92]Energy Modelling, http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/modelling.asp[EB]. 2004-09
  • 6[93]EC: E3ME, An Energy-Environment-Economy Model for Europe[R]. Joule II Programme, EUR 16715 EN, Brussels, Belgium, September 1995.
  • 7[94]Frederic H MurphyJohn J Conti, Susan H ShawReginald Sanders. Modeling and Forecasting Energy Markets with the Intermediate Future Forecasting System[J]. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 1989, 12 (9): 1189~1190
  • 8[95]Fujii Y, K Yamaji. Assessment of Technological Options in the Global Energy System for Limiting the Atmospheric CO2 Concentration[R]. Japan, 1997.
  • 9[1]Toshihiko Nakata. Energy-economic Models and the Environment[J]. Progress in Energy and Combustion Science, 2004, 30 (4): 417~475
  • 10[2]Gürkan Selcuk Kumbaro Glu. Environmental Taxation and Economic Effects: a Computable General Equilibrium Analysis for Turkey[J]. Journal of Policy Modeling, 2003, 25 (8): 795~810

共引文献76

同被引文献16

  • 1魏一鸣,吴刚,刘兰翠,范英.能源-经济-环境复杂系统建模与应用进展[J].管理学报,2005,2(2):159-170. 被引量:74
  • 2财政部财政科学研究所"可持续能源财税政策研究"课题组.可持续能源战略的财税政策研究[J].经济研究参考,2006(14):2-13. 被引量:10
  • 3宋学锋,刘耀彬.基于SD的江苏省城市化与生态环境耦合发展情景分析[J].系统工程理论与实践,2006,26(3):124-130. 被引量:72
  • 4国网北京经济技术研究院.21世纪初我国能源安全下能源企业发展能力研究[R].2007.
  • 5中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所.我国21实际能源展望:我国现代化面临的能源问题[EB/OL].(2008-06-10).http://www.chinaenvironment.corn/chinese/power/xianzhuang.cn.13.htm.
  • 6BP GROUP. BP statistical review of world energy [EB/OL]. http: //www. bp. eom/liveassets/bp _ intemet/globalbp/ globalbp_ uk_ english/reports _ and _ publications/statistical _ energy_ review 2008/STAGING/local _ assets/downloads/ pdf/statisfical _ review_ of world _ energy_ full _ review 2008. pdf.
  • 7中华人民共和国国家统计局.2008年我国统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2008,9.
  • 8Crompton P, Wu Y R. Energy consumption in China: past trends and future directions [J]. Energy Economics, 2005, (27): 195--208.
  • 9Zhang Z X. Why did the energy intensity fall in China' s industry sector in the 1990s? The relative importance of structural change and intensity change [J]. Energy Economics, 2003, (25): 625--638.
  • 10Hu JinLi, Wang Shih-Chuan. Total factor energy efficiency of region in China [J]. Energy Policy, 2006, 34 (17): 3206--3217.

引证文献3

二级引证文献12

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部