中国丝绸出口贸易影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Influential Factors on Silk Export Trade in China

在分析1992年以来中国丝绸出口贸易变化的基础上,应用丝绸出口贸易引力模型,就影响中国丝绸出口贸易的因素进行了实证分析。认为丝绸进口国的GDP、中国与丝绸进口国之间的地理距离、双边实际汇率和中国是否加入WTO等因素都对中国丝绸出口贸易有显著影响,提出了进一步优化市场结构、提升产品质量、充分利用WTO规则和积极应对反倾销等对策与建议。

Change of silk export trade in China since 1992 was analyzed in this paper. The gravity model was constructed, and an empirical analysis Of influential factors on silk export trade in China was carried as well. The research results showed that many influential factors, such as GDP, distance and real exchange rate between China and the importing countries as well as China entry into WTO, were prominent in effecting silk export trade in China. Based on the above analysis results, we put forward some counter-measures, including adjusting silk market structure of China, improving quality of the silk export, making full use of the WTO regulation, and taking an active part in dealing with anti-dumping issues of foreign countries.