摘要
本文通过对1978-2007年间零售额和GDP时间序列的协整分析和Granger因果关系检验,得出结论:零售业发展与经济增长存在长期均衡关系,但不存在稳定的因果关系;进而采用多元回归方法,分析影响零售业发展的其他主要宏观因素,并给出了加快零售业发展的相关建议。
By conducting co-integration analysis to the retail volume from 1978 to 2007 and temporal sequence, and testing the Granger causality, the paper concludes that there exists long-term balanced relationship between retail development and economic growth, rather than stable causality. And the paper adopts multi-regression method to analyze other major macro-factors affecting retail development, and makes suggestions to speed up retail development.
出处
《统计教育》
2008年第10期3-6,共4页
Statistical education
