摘要
城市人口的发展关系着其经济、社会、环境的发展以及资源的利用,因此准确地预测未来人口的发展趋势,制定合理的人口规划和人口布局方案具有重大的理论意义和现实意义。本文以盐城市人口为例,应用GM(1,1)模型对该市2001-2007年人口进行建模,预测未来五年内人口发展趋势,为市政府制定社会经济发展战略计划提供参考依据。
The development of urban population has a bearing on its economic, social and enciornmental development, and resource utilization. Thus, it＇s of great theoretical and practical significance to precisely predict the development trend of population and formulate ratioanal population plan and distribution scenario. This paper takes urban population of Yancheng city as a case and establishes models to the population from 2001 to 2007 by GM（1,1）, to predict the population development trend in the next five years and provide reference to the government for the formulation of social and economic development strategies.
出处
《统计教育》
2008年第10期63-64,27,共3页
Statistical education
