泛珠三角区域经济发展差异的因素分解

Factor Decomposition of Regional Economic Difference in Pan-Pearl River Delta

借助基尼系数的产业结构及效应分解法和Theil(锡尔)系数的嵌套分解法,从产业结构和空间结构层面对1992-2006年泛珠三角区域经济差异进行分解。从产业结构层面分析,第二产业是导致区域经济差异及其变动的第一大因素,第三产业次之,且其贡献率呈逐年上升的趋势。从空间结构层面分析,省内经济差异是导致泛珠三角区域经济差异的第一大因素,其贡献率在55%左右,且东部省内经济差异的影响最为显著;地带间经济差异是第二大因素,且地带间经济差异呈扩大趋势。

In order to analyze the primary factor of regional economic difference in Pan-Pearl River Delta, the decomposition of regional economic difference in Pan--Pearl River Delta was analyzed in the aspects of industrial structure and spatial structure from1992 to 2006, with the method of Gini coefficient and nested composition of Theil coefficient. The conclusion shows that the secondary industry is the first major factor which leads to regional economic disparities and differences, followed by the tertiary industry which plays an increasing important role year by year in the industrial structure level. And the differences in the pro- vincial level is the first major factor which impacted regional economic differences, and its contribution rate is 55 %, the difference of the eastern provinces is the most significant, the difference of inter--zone is the second major factor and the trend is growing in the spatial structure.