区域旅游一体化进程中边界效应的定量化研究——以长江三角洲地区入境旅游为例

A Quantitative Study on Boundary Effect in the Course of Regional Tourism Integration——Taking Inbound Tourism in Yangtze River Delta Region as An Example

本文首先分析了边界效应的两种形式,即质的边界效应和量的边界效应,并构建了区域旅游一体化进程中对行政区边界效应的度量方法,以长江三角洲地区为例,以1991-2006年为样本区间,对其入境旅游发展做了实证研究,探讨江苏与浙江、上海与江苏、上海与浙江之间的边界效应。通过邹检验(ChowTest)发现,长江三角洲各城市间的经济水平存在结构性的差异,进一步的回归检验结果表明,长江三角洲各城市间存在一体化的趋势,但存在着量的边界效应。进而考察了长三角边界效应的演化情况,结果表明江苏和浙江之间的边界效应从有到无,上海与江苏的边界效应、上海和浙江之间的边界效应存在增大的趋势,并且上海与江苏的边界效应增大的速度明显地高于上海和浙江之间的边界效应增大的速度。最后,本文从旅游资源条件、经济条件、交通条件、直辖市作用、制度条件5个方面对演化的原因进行了解释。

The paper firsdy analyzes two forms of boundary effects—— qualitative boundary effect and quantitative boundary effect and then puts forward measurement method of constructing administrative regional boundary effect in the course of regional tourism integration. Taking Yangtze River Delta Region as an example with the years 1991 -2006 as sample timings, the paper makes an empirical study of the development of inbound tourism and discusses boundary effect between Jiangsu and Zhejiang, Shanghai and Jiangsu, Shanghai and Zhejiang. Zhou checks find that there exist structural differences in terms of economic level among different cities in Yangtze River Delta Region. Further regression check results indicate that there exists the tendency of integration among different cities, but quantitative boundary effect as well. The evolution of boundary effect shows that boundary effect between Jiangsu and Zhejiang has disappeared and the boundary effect between Shanghai and Jiangsu, Shanghai and Zhejiang present the trend of increase. The speed of increase between Shanghai and Jiangsu is obviously faster than that between Shanghai and Zhejiang. Based on this, the paper makes an explanation of the causes from five aspects ： tourism resources, economy, traffic, the effect of municipality directly under the Central Government and system.