大型活动拥挤踩踏事故灰色层次分析

Analysis of GAHP in crowded stampede accidents of large-scale activities

针对大型活动拥挤踩踏事故诱因复杂的特点,采用灰色层次分析法,在客观归类大型活动拥挤踩踏事故影响因素的基础上,建立拥挤踩踏事故评估灰色层次分析模型,并以沈阳世博会综合馆进行实例分析,得出安全等级,实例表明,灰色层次评估方法具备实用性,能够比较客观、真实地反映大型活动拥挤踩踏事故风险情况,值得推广和使用。

The reasons for crowded stampede accidents are complex, so the paper uses GAHP to establish the GAHP model of crowded stampede accidents in large--scale activities,on the basis of objective classification of influencing factors of crowded stampede accidents in large--scale activities. As an example of Shenyang Expo composite Museum, the evaluation and validation have been made,and the safety grade has been achieved. The application example shows thai gray levels risk assessment methods have the practicality to reflect the crowded stampede accident risk situation of large--scale activities more objectively and truly,and it is worth of popularization and use in the assessment of crowded stampede accidents in large--scale activities.